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Publicações

Publicações por HumanISE

2013

Electricity Markets Portfolio Optimization using a Particle Swarm Approach

Autores
Guedes, N; Pinto, T; Vale, Z; Sousa, TM; Sousa, T;

Publicação
2013 24TH INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP ON DATABASE AND EXPERT SYSTEMS APPLICATIONS (DEXA 2013)

Abstract
Energy systems worldwide are complex and challenging environments. Multi-agent based simulation platforms are increasing at a high rate, as they show to be a good option to study many issues related to these systems, as well as the involved players at act in this domain. In this scope the authors' research group has developed a multi-agent system: MASCEM (Multi-Agent System for Competitive Electricity Markets), which simulates the electricity markets. MASCEM is integrated with ALBidS (Adaptive Learning Strategic Bidding System) that works as a decision support system for market players. The ALBidS system allows MASCEM market negotiating players to take the best possible advantages from the market context. However, it is still necessary to adequately optimize the player's portfolio investment. For this purpose, this paper proposes a market portfolio optimization method, based on particle swarm optimization, which provides the best investment profile for a market player, considering the different markets the player is acting on in each moment, and depending on different contexts of negotiation, such as the peak and off-peak periods of the day, and the type of day (business day, weekend, holiday, etc.). The proposed approach is tested and validated using real electricity markets data from the Iberian operator - OMIE.

2013

Demonstration of the multi-agent simulator of competitive electricity markets

Autores
Pinto, T; Praca, I; Santos, G; Vale, Z;

Publicação
Lecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics)

Abstract
Electricity markets are complex environments with very particular characteristics. A critical issue concerns the constant changes they are subject to. This is a result of the electricity markets' restructuring, performed so that the competitiveness could be increased, but with exponential implications in the increase of the complexity and unpredictability in those markets' scope. The constant growth in markets unpredictability resulted in an amplified need for market intervenient entities in foreseeing market behavior. The need for understanding the market mechanisms and how the involved players' interaction affects the outcomes of the markets, contributed to the growth of usage of simulation tools. Multi-agent based software is particularly well fitted to analyze dynamic and adaptive systems with complex interactions among its constituents, such as electricity markets. This paper presents the Multi-Agent System for Competitive Electricity Markets (MASCEM) - a simulator based on multi-agent technology that provides a realistic platform to simulate electricity markets, the numerous negotiation opportunities and the participating entities. © 2013 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg.

2013

Adapting Meeting Tools to Agent Decision

Autores
Barreto, J; Praca, I; Pinto, T; Sousa, TM; Vale, Z;

Publicação
PROCEEDINGS OF THE 2013 IEEE CONFERENCE ON EVOLVING AND ADAPTIVE INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS (EAIS)

Abstract
Electricity markets are complex environments comprising several negotiation mechanisms. MASCEM (Multi-Agent System for Competitive Electricity Markets) is a simulator developed to allow deep studies of the interactions between the players that take part in the electricity market negotiations. ALBidS (Adaptive Learning Strategic Bidding System) is a multiagent system created to provide decision support to market negotiating players. Fully integrated with MASCEM it considers several different methodologies based on very distinct approaches. The Six Thinking Hats is a powerful technique used to look at decisions from different perspectives. This paper aims to complement ALBidS strategies usage by MASCEM players, providing, through the Six Thinking hats group decision technique, a means to combine them and take advantages from their different perspectives. The combination of the different proposals resulting from ALBidS' strategies is performed through the application of a Genetic Algorithm, resulting in an evolutionary learning approach.

2013

Scenarios Generation for Multi-Agent simulation of Electricity Markets based on Intelligent Data Analysis

Autores
Santos, G; Praca, I; Pinto, T; Ramos, S; Vale, Z;

Publicação
2013 IEEE SYMPOSIUM ON INTELLIGENT AGENT (IA)

Abstract
This document presents a tool able to automatically gather data provided by real energy markets and to generate scenarios, capture and improve market players' profiles and strategies by using knowledge discovery processes in databases supported by artificial intelligence techniques, data mining algorithms and machine learning methods. It provides the means for generating scenarios with different dimensions and characteristics, ensuring the representation of real and adapted markets, and their participating entities. The scenarios generator module enhances the MASCEM (Multi-Agent Simulator of Competitive Electricity Markets) simulator, endowing a more effective tool for decision support. The achievements from the implementation of the proposed module enables researchers and electricity markets' participating entities to analyze data, create real scenarios and make experiments with them. On the other hand, applying knowledge discovery techniques to real data also allows the improvement of MASCEM agents' profiles and strategies resulting in a better representation of real market players' behavior. This work aims to improve the comprehension of electricity markets and the interactions among the involved entities through adequate multi-agent simulation.

2013

An automatic tool to Extract, Transform and Load data from real electricity markets

Autores
Pereira, Ivo F.; Praça, Isabel; Pinto, Tiago; Sousa, Tiago; Freitas, Ana; Vale, Zita;

Publicação
First ELECON Workshop – Towards Efficient European and Brazilian Electricity Markets

Abstract
The study of Electricity Markets operation has been gaining an increasing importance in the last years, as result of the new challenges that the restructuring produced. Currently, lots of information concerning Electricity Markets is available, as market operators provide, after a period of confidentiality, data regarding market proposals and transactions. These data can be used as source of knowledge, to define realistic scenarios, essential for understanding and forecast Electricity Markets behaviour. The development of tools able to extract, transform, store and dynamically update data, is of great importance to go a step further into the comprehension of Electricity Markets and the behaviour of the involved entities. In this paper we present an adaptable tool capable of downloading, parsing and storing data from market operators’ websites, assuring actualization and reliability of stored data.

2013

QoS enabled middleware for real-time industrial control systems

Autores
Ferreira, LL; Albano, M; Pinho, LM;

Publicação
IEEE International Conference on Emerging Technologies and Factory Automation, ETFA

Abstract
In this paper we analyze some of the existing solutions for Message-Oriented Middleware (MOM), which can be used on industrial environments, and that are, at the same time, capable of handling large quantities of data and of providing adequate Quality-of-Service (QoS) levels for its supported applications. We also make a proposal for the generic structure of a middleware layer supported on a MOM. © 2013 IEEE.

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