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Publicações

Publicações por HumanISE

2013

Strategic bidding in electricity markets: An agent-based simulator with game theory for scenario analysis

Autores
Pinto, T; Praca, I; Vale, Z; Morais, H; Sousa, TM;

Publicação
INTEGRATED COMPUTER-AIDED ENGINEERING

Abstract
Electricity markets are complex environments, involving a large number of different entities, with specific characteristics and objectives, making their decisions and interacting in a dynamic scene. Game-theory has been widely used to support decisions in competitive environments; therefore its application in electricity markets can prove to be a high potential tool. This paper proposes a new scenario analysis algorithm, which includes the application of game-theory, to evaluate and preview different scenarios and provide players with the ability to strategically react in order to exhibit the behavior that better fits their objectives. This model includes forecasts of competitor players' actions, to build models of their behavior, in order to define the most probable expected scenarios. Once the scenarios are defined, game theory is applied to support the choice of the action to be performed. Our use of game theory is intended for supporting one specific agent and not for achieving the equilibrium in the market. MASCEM (Multi-Agent System for Competitive Electricity Markets) is a multi-agent electricity market simulator that models market players and simulates their operation in the market. The scenario analysis algorithm has been tested within MASCEM and our experimental findings with a case study based on real data from the Iberian Electricity Market are presented and discussed.

2013

Intelligent remuneration and tariffs for virtual power players

Autores
Ribeiro, C; Pinto, T; Morais, H; Vale, Z; Santos, G;

Publicação
2013 IEEE Grenoble Conference PowerTech, POWERTECH 2013

Abstract
Power systems have been through deep changes in recent years, namely due to the operation of competitive electricity markets in the scope the increasingly intensive use of renewable energy sources and distributed generation. This requires new business models able to cope with the new opportunities that have emerged. Virtual Power Players (VPPs) are a new type of player that allows aggregating a diversity of players (Distributed Generation (DG), Storage Agents (SA), Electrical Vehicles (V2G) and consumers) to facilitate their participation in the electricity markets and to provide a set of new services promoting generation and consumption efficiency, while improving players' benefits. A major task of VPPs is the remuneration of generation and services (maintenance, market operation costs and energy reserves), as well as charging energy consumption. This paper proposes a model to implement fair and strategic remuneration and tariff methodologies, able to allow efficient VPP operation and VPP goals accomplishment in the scope of electricity markets. © 2013 IEEE.

2013

Short-term wind forecasting to support virtual power player operation

Autores
Ramos, S; Soares, J; Pinto, T; Vale, Z;

Publicação
European Wind Energy Conference and Exhibition, EWEC 2013

Abstract
This paper proposes a wind speed forecasting model that contributes to the development and implementation of adequate methodologies for Energy Resource Management in a distribution power network, with intensive use of wind based power generation. The proposed forecasting methodology aims to support the operation in the scope of the intraday resources scheduling model, namely with a time horizon of 10 minutes. A case study using a real database from the meteorological station installed in the GECAD renewable energy lab was used. A new wind speed forecasting model has been implemented and it estimated accuracy was evaluated and compared with a previous developed forecasting model. Using as input attributes the information of the wind speed concerning the previous 3 hours enables to obtain results with high accuracy for the wind shortterm forecasting.

2013

Load Control Timescales Simulation in a Multi-Agent Smart Grid Platform

Autores
Oliveira, P; Gomes, L; Pinto, T; Faria, P; Vale, Z; Morais, H;

Publicação
2013 4TH IEEE/PES INNOVATIVE SMART GRID TECHNOLOGIES EUROPE (ISGT EUROPE)

Abstract
Environmental concerns and the shortage in the fossil fuel reserves have been potentiating the growth and globalization of distributed generation. Another resource that has been increasing its importance is the demand response, which is used to change consumers' consumption profile, helping to reduce peak demand. Aiming to support small players' participation in demand response events, the Curtailment Service Provider emerged. This player works as an aggregator for demand response events. The control of small and medium players which act in smart grid and micro grid environments is enhanced with a multi-agent system with artificial intelligence techniques - the MASGriP (Multi-Agent Smart Grid Platform). Using strategic behaviours in each player, this system simulates the profile of real players by using software agents. This paper shows the importance of modeling these behaviours for studying this type of scenarios. A case study with three examples shows the differences between each player and the best behaviour in order to achieve the higher profit in each situation.

2013

Multi-Agent Based Smart Grid Management and Simulation: Situation Awareness and Learning in a Test Bed with Simulated and Real Installations and Players

Autores
Morais, H; Vale, Z; Pinto, T; Gomes, L; Fernandes, F; Oliveira, P; Ramos, C;

Publicação
2013 IEEE POWER AND ENERGY SOCIETY GENERAL MEETING (PES)

Abstract
The rising usage of distributed energy resources has been creating several problems in power systems operation. Virtual Power Players arise as a solution for the management of such resources. Additionally, approaching the main network as a series of subsystems gives birth to the concepts of smart grid and micro grid. Simulation, particularly based on multi-agent technology is suitable to model all these new and evolving concepts. MASGriP (Multi-Agent Smart Grid simulation Platform) is a system that was developed to allow deep studies of the mentioned concepts. This paper focuses on a laboratorial test bed which represents a house managed by a MASGriP player. This player is able to control a real installation, responding to requests sent by the system operators and reacting to observed events depending on the context.

2013

MASCEM Restructuring: Ontologies For Scenarios Generation in Power Systems Simulators

Autores
Santos, G; Pinto, T; Vale, Z; Morais, H; Pragca, I;

Publicação
2013 IEEE POWER AND ENERGY SOCIETY GENERAL MEETING (PES)

Abstract
The electricity market restructuring, along with the increasing necessity for an adequate integration of renewable energy sources, is resulting in an rising complexity in power systems operation. Various power system simulators have been introduced in recent years with the purpose of helping operators, regulators, and involved players to understand and deal with this complex environment. This paper focuses on the development of an upper ontology which integrates the essential concepts necessary to interpret all the available information. The restructuring of MASCEM (Multi-Agent System for Competitive Electricity Markets), and this system's integration with MASGriP (Multi-Agent Smart Grid Platform), and ALBidS (Adaptive Learning Strategic Bidding System) provide the means for the exemplification of the usefulness of this ontology. A practical example is presented, showing how common simulation scenarios for different simulators, directed to very distinct environments, can be created departing from the proposed ontology.

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