Abstract
The liberalization of energy markets has imposed several modifications in the electricity market environment. The paradigm of monopoly market ceased to exist, and new models have been put into practice. The new models have increased the incentive on competitiveness, making market players struggle to achieve the best outcomes out of market participation. Producers aim at reaching the maximum profit on the sale of energy, while consumers try to minimize their spending on electrical energy. The proposed methodology considers the optimization of players' participation in multiple market opportunities. Reference prices that are expected in each market type at each moment are achieved through the application of neural networks. Using the forecasted prices, the proposed portfolio optimization method allocates the sale and purchase of electrical energy to different markets throughout the time, with the aim at achieving the most advantageous participation profile. A particle swarm approach is used to reduce the execution time while guaranteeing the minimum degradation of the results. Results of the swarm methodology are compared to those of a deterministic approach, using real data from the Iberian electricity market - MIBEL.

Abstract

Abstract
This paper presents a decision support methodology for electricity market players' bilateral contract negotiations. The proposed model is based on the application of game theory, using artificial intelligence to enhance decision support method's adaptive features. This model is integrated in AiD-EM (Adaptive Decision Support for Electricity Markets Negotiations), a multi-agent system that provides electricity market players with strategic behavior capabilities to improve their outcomes from energy contracts' negotiations. Although a diversity of tools that enable the study and simulation of electricity markets has emerged during the past few years, these are mostly directed to the analysis of market models and power systems' technical constraints, making them suitable tools to support decisions of market operators and regulators. However, the equally important support of market negotiating players' decisions is being highly neglected. The proposed model contributes to overcome the existing gap concerning effective and realistic decision support for electricity market negotiating entities. The proposed method is validated by realistic electricity market simulations using real data from the Iberian market operatorMIBEL. Results show that the proposed adaptive decision support features enable electricity market players to improve their outcomes from bilateral contracts' negotiations.

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Abstract