Abstract
In this paper, we presented a probabilistic framework to predict Bus Bunching (BB) occurrences in real-time. It uses both historical and real-time data to approximate the headway distributions on the further stops of a given route by employing both offline and online supervised learning techniques. Such approximations are incrementally calculated by reusing the latest prediction residuals to update the further ones. These update rules extend the Perceptron's delta rule by assuming an adaptive beta value based on the current context. These distributions are then used to compute the likelihood of forming a bus platoon on a further stop - which may trigger an threshold-based BB alarm. This framework was evaluated using real-world data about the trips of 3 bus lines throughout an year running on the city of Porto, Portugal. The results are promising.

Abstract
Taxi services play a central role in the mobility dynamics of major urban areas. Advanced communication devices such as GPS (Global Positioning System) and GSM (Global System for Mobile Communications) made it possible to monitor the drivers' activities in real-time. This paper presents an online learning approach to predict profitability in taxi stands. This approach consists of classifying each stand based according to the type of services that are being requested (for instance, short and long trips). This classification is achieved by maintaining a time-evolving histogram to approximate local probability density functions (p.d.f.) in service revenues. The future values of this histogram are estimated using time series analysis methods assuming that a non-homogeneous Poisson process is in place. Finally, the method's outputs were combined using a voting ensemble scheme based on a sliding window of historical data. Experimental tests were conducted using online data transmitted by 441 vehicles of a fleet running in the city of Porto, Portugal. The results demonstrated that the proposed framework can provide an effective insight on the characterization of taxi stand profitability.

Abstract
Intelligent transportation systems based on automated data collection frameworks are widely used by the major transit companies around the globe. This paper describes the current state of the art on improving both planning and control on public road transportation companies using automatic vehicle location (AVL) data. By surveying this topic, the expectation is to help develop a better understanding of the nature, approaches, challenges, and opportunities with regard to these problems. This paper starts by presenting a brief review on improving the network definition based on historical location-based data. Second, it presents a comprehensive review on AVL-based evaluation techniques of the schedule plan (SP) reliability, discussing the existing metrics. Then, the different dimensions on improving the SP reliability are presented in detail, as well as the works addressing such problem. Finally, the automatic control strategies are also revised, along with the research employed over the location-based data. A comprehensive discussion on the techniques employed is provided to encourage those who are starting research on this topic. It is important to highlight that there are still gaps in AVL-based literature, such as the following: 1) long-term travel time prediction; 2) finding optimal slack time; or 3) choosing the best control strategy to apply in each situation in the event of schedule instability. Hence, this paper includes introductory model formulations, reference surveys, formal definitions, and an overview of a promising area, which is of interest to any researcher, regardless of the level of expertise.

Abstract
The rising fuel costs is disallowing random cruising strategies for passenger finding. Hereby, a recommendation model to suggest the most passengerprofitable urban area/stand is presented. This framework is able to combine the 1) underlying historical patterns on passenger demand and the 2) current network status to decide which is the best zone to head to in each moment. The major contribution of this work is on how to combine well-known methods for learning from data streams (such as the historical GPS traces) as an approach to solve this particular problem. The results were promising: 395.361/506.873 of the services dispatched were correctly predicted. The experiments also highlighted that a fleet equipped with such framework surpassed a fleet that is not: they experienced an average waiting time to pick-up a passenger 5% lower than its competitor. © 2013 IJCAI.

Abstract
Private car commuting is heavily dependent on the subsidisation that exists in the form of available free parking. However, the public funding policy of such free parking has been changing over the last years, with a substantial increase of meter-charged parking areas in many cities. To help to increase the sustainability of car transportation, a novel concept of a self-automated parking lot has been recently proposed, which leverages on a collaborative mobility of parked cars to achieve the goal of parking twice as many cars in the same area, as compared to a conventional parking lot. This concept, known as self-automated parking lots, can be improved if a reasonable prediction of the exit time of each car that enters the parking lot is used to try to optimize its initial placement, in order to reduce the mobility necessary to extract blocked cars. In this paper we show that the exit time prediction can be done with a relatively small error, and that this prediction can be used to reduce the collaborative mobility in a self-automated parking lot.

Abstract
Nowadays, every public transportation company uses Automatic Vehicle Location (AVL) systems to track the services provided by each vehicle. Such information can be used to improve operational planning. This paper describes an AVL-based evaluation framework to test whether the actual Schedule Plan fits, in terms of days covered by each schedule, the network's operational conditions. Firstly, clustering is employed to group days with similar profiles in terms of travel times (this is done for each different route). Secondly, consensus clustering is used to obtain a unique set of clusters for all routes. Finally, a set of rules about the groups content is drawn based on appropriate decision variables. Each group will correspond to a different schedule and the rules identify the days covered by each schedule. This methodology is simultaneously an evaluator of the schedules that are offered by the company (regarding its coverage) and an advisor on possible changes to such offer. It was tested by using data collected for one year in a company running in Porto, Portugal. The results are sound. The main contribution of this paper is that it proposes a way to combine Machine Learning techniques to add a novel dimension to the Schedule Plan evaluation methods: the day coverage. Such approach meets no parallel in the current literature.